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Past questions / Oct 31, 2026
MOMENTUM CHECK · SATURDAY, OCTOBER 31, 2026

Will Penguin reach 2,147 or more pageviews tomorrow?

On the latest baseline date (2026-10-29 UTC), Penguin received 5,061 pageviews, +135.7% versus its seven-day mean. The mean is frozen for this forecast.

THE ANSWER

At or below average

Penguin: 1,411 pageviews. Correct answer: At or below average.

2 forecasters played this question.

Observed results

  • Above average
  • At or below averageCorrect

Penguin

1.4K7-day baselineNov 1, 2026
Dashed line: 7-day average (2,147/day).

How it was decided

Momentum checks ask whether one article beats its own frozen average.

The baseline is each article’s average daily pageviews from Oct 23, 2026 to Oct 29, 2026, frozen when the question opened on Oct 31, 2026. The target was the full UTC day of Nov 1, 2026.

Penguin averaged 2,147 views a day and recorded 1,411 on the target day (at or below the benchmark).

Source: English Wikipedia pageviews by human readers across all platforms, from the Wikimedia Analytics API (CC0). Results freeze when first settled.

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